| Sport | Bets | W-L-P | ROI | Avg CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀 NBA | 1 | 0-1-0 | -100% | — |
| ⚾ MLB | 0 | — | — | — |
| 🏒 NHL | 0 | — | — | — |
| 🏈 NFL | 0 | — | — | — |
| ⛳ Golf | 0 | — | — | — |
| 🏁 NASCAR | 0 | — | — | — |
N=1 means literally nothing. With a true 53% win rate on -110 spreads, the standard deviation of a 100-bet sample is ~5%, so you can be up 48–58% over 100 bets purely by luck. To distinguish skill from luck with reasonable confidence requires 200+ bets. We're a long way from that.
The backtest ran the simplified model on 4,615 historical games and lost 95% — that's the kind of sample size you need to actually evaluate a strategy. This live page is the slow-build version: every bet logged, no curation.