HISTORICAL PAGE — the weekend of May 15, 2026
Weekend tracking page for BCE Phase 1. Anything below written as "tonight" or "today" means the weekend of May 15, 2026, not now. Kept as a record of what was thought at the time, which is the point of a ledger.
Bets · portfolio · 2026-05-15-weekend

🎯 Weekend Portfolio · May 15-17, 2026

6 games · 4 tiers per game · up to 23 paper-bets · ~$150 total paper exposure · Primary BCE Phase 1 Bet #2: Pistons G7 on 2026-05-17, 8:00 PM ET (📺 Amazon Prime Video)
← 3-tier framework BCE framework Prediction log 📈 Learning dashboard 📅 Daily learnings Backtests

✅ Friday results scored (2026-05-15)

🏀 Pistons G6 — WIN
DET 115, CLE 94 (21-pt blowout)
Tier B ✓ · Tier C ✗ · Mild ✗ · Full ✗ (2/4 legs)
Full analysis →
⚾ Pirates G1 — LOSS
PHI 11, PIT 9 (Over hit; ML lost)
Tier B ✗ · Tier C ✗ · Mild ✗ · Full ✗
Full analysis →
🔥 Pistons G7 Sun
Series tied 3-3 · DET home · all 4 BCE conditions FIRE
G7 analysis →

Per-bet outcomes (below) — tap the Win/Loss buttons on each row to lock in to KV.

Weekend summary

Total bets
12
Paper exposure
$70
Actually placed
0
Won
0
Lost
0
Paper P/L
$0

Status grid · 4 games × 3 tiers

Updates live as you mark outcomes below.

⚾ PHI @ PIT · Friday G1

Fri 6:40 PM ET · MLB METHODOLOGY

Series opener · Pirates 24-20 home hot vs Phillies 21-23 traveling. 4-tier structure.

🏀 SAS @ MIN · Game 6

Fri 9:30 PM ET · BCE FULL TRIGGER
✓ Talent gap — SAS 60-22 (.732) vs MIN 48-34 (.585), 15% gap
✓ Favorite has dominant star — Wembanyama
✓ Motivation factor — closeout game
✓ Pace profile — SAS top-10, total 220+
4/4 conditions met → FULL TIER A BET ($10) · Phase 1 Bet #1 of 30

🏀 DET @ CLE · Game 6

Fri 7:00 PM ET · BCE PARTIAL (3 of 4)
✗ Talent gap — modest, similar regular-season records (~50-32 each)
✓ Favorite status — CLE at home + has stars (Mitchell · Mobley · Harden)
✓ Motivation factor — dual: DET elimination + CLE closeout
✓ Pace profile — series totals have been 220-230, meets the 215+ threshold
3/4 conditions → TEST STAKE ($5) on Tier A — matches BCE scanner verdict

⚾ PIT vs PHI · Game 2 · ⭐ Sam attending

Sat 4:05 PM ET · MLB METHODOLOGY
✗ Talent gap — modest, ~6%
✗ Favorite has dominant star — MLB different structure
✓ Motivation factor — PHI travel fatigue, day game after night
✗ Pace profile — MLB pace different
1/4 conditions → uses MLB methodology (not BCE)

⚾ PHI @ PIT · Sunday G3 finale

Sun 1:35 PM ET · MLB METHODOLOGY

Day game · series finale · consider skipping if Sat already clinched. 4-tier structure.

⛳ PGA Championship · Round 3 (Sat) / 4 (Sun)

Sat/Sun · GOLF FRAMEWORK
✗ Different sport — BCE doesn't apply
Use SameSHOT Framework + course-fit picks from PGA analysis