Bets — Same Solutions

🗓️ Schedule live calendar view

Use the live calendar for today / tomorrow / weekend games. The hand-curated dashboard that used to live here was removed 2026-05-24 (was a snapshot of 2026-05-17; auto-stale-warning fired every visit since). A data-driven replacement reading from KV (fed by the substrate-cron worker) is Phase 4 follow-up work.

📅 Open live calendar → · games index · all teams

🎓 NEW: Learn the Math

7 interactive lessons covering EV, Beta distributions, Kelly Criterion, CLV, vig removal, and tier clustering. Visual + interactive demos. Start learning →

🎯 Weekend Portfolio LIVE · May 15-17

12 paper-bets across 4 games · BCE Phase 1 Bet #2 today: Pistons G7

→ Open the live tracker · 3-tier framework · 📈 Learning dashboard · 📅 Daily learnings · 📜 Strategy versions

Most promising edge identified

Blowout Correlation Edge — 5/5 hits in backtest. Now in validation phase.

→ Full BCE framework + 4-condition trigger + 3-phase validation plan

⚠ Honest baselines

4 backtests. 2 failed vs blind. 2 promising (BT3/BT4 NBA v2). BCE pattern in validation.

📚 All 4 backtests with charts · 🎯 Dual-tier strategy · 💥 BCE edge · BT1 NBA · BT2 MLB · Strategy v2/v3 · Prediction log

📐 Reference: Methodology page — see the math behind every pick (EV, Kelly, CLV, vig removal). Read this if you want to know how the picks are made. · 📊 Odds API usage — live data calls + free-tier budget. · 🧠 Today's learnings (May 15) — Friday results scored + methodology updates.

🔥 Featured · TODAY GAME 7 · BCE FULL TRIGGER

Cavs @ Pistons Game 7 — winner advances to ECF

Series tied 3-3 after DET's 21-pt G6 win · all 4 BCE conditions met · Phase 1 Bet #2 of 30 · home Game 7 historical ~63-65% win rate · ⭐ TOP PICK DET ML at -130 or better

📊 G7 deep analysis 🏀 Pistons page 💥 BCE framework 📋 Score pending (after games) 📱 DraftKings 📱 FanDuel

📅 This Week's Games (11 analyses)

🏀 Mon 5/11 Pistons @ CLE Game 4 · analysis
⚾ Tue 5/12 Braves vs Cubs (Game of Day) · analysis
⚾ Tue 5/12 Tigers @ Mets · analysis
⚾ Tue 5/12 Pirates vs Rockies · analysis
🏒 Tue 5/12 MTL @ BUF NHL · analysis
🏒 Tue 5/12 VGK @ ANA NHL · analysis
🏀 Wed 5/13 Pistons G5 vs CLE (pivot, 2-2) · analysis
⚾ Wed 5/13 Braves vs Cubs · analysis
🏒 Wed 5/13 MIN @ COL NHL · analysis
⚾ Thu 5/14 Braves vs Cubs · analysis
⚾ Fri 5/15 Braves vs Red Sox · analysis
⛳ Thu–Sun 5/14–17 🏆 PGA CHAMPIONSHIP at Aronimink · analysis (Major)
🏁 Sun 5/17 NASCAR All-Star Race · analysis
🏁 Sun 5/24 6 PM ET 🏆 COCA-COLA 600 at Charlotte · analysis (Crown jewel · Prime Video)

📋 Teams I'm Tracking

🏀 Pistons

NBA · Playoffs

🔥 Sunday G7 at home · BCE FULL TRIGGER 4/4 · series tied 3-3

⚾ Braves

MLB · Baseball

Tomorrow vs Cubs 7:15 PM

🐯 Tigers

MLB · AL Central

Tomorrow @ Mets 7:10 PM

⚓ Pirates

MLB · NL Central

Tomorrow vs Rockies 6:40 PM

All-Star Race Sun 5/17

Offseason · August preseason

🏈 Steelers

NFL · Football

Offseason · August preseason

📊 Recent Bet History

2026-05-15 Pistons G6 @ CLE
DET 115-94 · Tier B ✓ · Mild/Full ✗ (SameSHOT 2/4 legs) · scored analysis
ML WIN · SameSHOT loss
2026-05-16 Phillies @ Pirates G2
Outcome TBD · Sam attended in person · medallions worn · analysis
Pending
2026-05-15 Phillies @ Pirates G1
PHI 11-9 · all 4 tiers ✗ · Over hit · MLB-totals-over-ML lesson logged · scored analysis
LOSS
2026-05-15 Spurs @ Wolves G6 (BCE Bet #1)
Outcome TBD · check after game · analysis
Pending
2026-05-13 Pistons G5 vs CLE
CLE 117-113 OT · SameSHOT lost · analysis
LOSS
2026-05-11 Pistons Game 4 @ CLE
Bet placed · analysis
Pending

→ Full live calendar with all 12+ tracked games + sport-color pills at /bets/calendar.html

🤖 How to Get Analysis

For an upcoming game: Tell planning chat
Give me [team] analysis for [date] vs [opponent]

Planning chat pulls fresh stats, builds the analysis page with player averages, single bet recommendations, parlays, and what to avoid. CC commits it to substrate.

Quick links to sportsbooks for placing bets:
DraftKings · FanDuel · DraftKings App · FanDuel App

Note: Pre-filled bet slips not available via deep links. Links open the sportsbook's category page where you find the bet.

📊 What's in the Hub

✅ 13 game analyses across NBA, MLB, NHL, NASCAR, and PGA
✅ Data-driven recommendations (not vibes)
✅ 3 ranked single bets + parlay + moonshot per game
✅ Player averages and form trends
✅ Direct sportsbook links (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars)
✅ Calendar with day/week/month views
✅ Updated daily with fresh data

Built and curated by Sam · Same Solutions LLC